Welcome to the Week 12 Quarterback Rankings!
This is a tough week to be making QB choices. I’ve been grinding all day and I’ll keep it up until I finalize these on Saturday, but there’s no way around some of the tough choices folks will have to make.
For example, if your QBs are Goff and Darnold, I’d start Darnold. If you’ve been starting Brady all year, and your backup is either Mayfield, Darnold or even Brissett, you have a decision on your hands. It’s just that kind of week. Buckle up, folks. We are expecting some turbulence.
For DFS, I’m looking at Matt Ryan and Sam Darnold pretty closely, which is a bit sick-making, until you look around. The other big name on my list is Russell Wilson. I’ll deep dive this on the DFS pod this Saturday.
This article will be updated on Saturday as always. I’ll be back in a bit with the wide receivers, running backs and tight ends.
Bye losses: Chiefs, Vikings, Chargers and Cardinals.
WEEK 12 RANKINGS
All pricing was sourced from DraftKings.
|1||Lamar Jackson||BAL||7.400||BAL@LAR 11/25/2019 08:15PM ET||Off the main slate and it’s huge when you look at all these awful games we need to consider. Lamar is killing it, obviously, so use him anywhere you can.|
|2||Russell Wilson||SEA||6.800||SEA@PHI 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||This is a hugely compelling decision for DFS types, like myself. Wilson has it all in front of him here, BUT, there are concerns. First, we have to pay plenty for Russ. Second, we would be buying into a game environment that features Pete Carroll and Doug Pederson—two coaches who could care less about our fantasy teams. The “feeling out process” could take 2-3 quarters here. On paper, this game screams “PASS” for Seattle, and I’m inclined to play it that way with some GPPs, but there are others paths this game could take, and some will induce fantasy nausea. Carroll runs when it’s suboptimal. We’ve seen it enough to think it’s always possible.|
|3||Matt Ryan||ATL||6.700||TB@ATL 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||He is one of the very, very few quarterbacks this week who has most of his arrows pointing up. He faces a pass funnel defense and Tampa is aggressive offensively. Unless Jameis Winston throws a bunch of picks early, Ryan is going to do well here. Of course, in DFS, doing well at a cost of 6,700 units is not exactly what we are looking for. For Ryan to blow up, we need some shootout conditions. In short, we need Bruce Arians to come up with a game plan that will work. I’ll take those odds.|
|4||Drew Brees||NO||6.600||CAR@NO 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||Some mild concern here that the Saints can win this with a ground-based approach, but Brees is always dangerous in the Superdome.|
|5||Jameis Winston||TB||6.200||TB@ATL 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||It’s the volume. Forget the picks and just understand that he’ll be throwing to great weapons in a game against a bottom rung pass defense. Or are they? Atlanta is actually riding a defensive hot streak, and if it continues, it really is mostly about the volume. Volume that has made him a playable option even on some of his “bad” (from an NFL perspective) weeks.|
|6||Dak Prescott||DAL||6.000||DAL@NE 11/24/2019 04:25PM ET||He has plenty of ceiling here but obviously, it’s about as tough as matchups get. A perfect game plan would feature more running from Dak and obviously Zeke Elliott. Dallas has always been less than inspiring in this way during the Jason Garrett regime. Hopefully new OC Kellen Moore will buck that trend and attack the Patriots at their weakest points. To some extent, it’s just going to school on what the Ravens did. Dallas can do some of those same things, albeit on a less explosive level.|
|7||Baker Mayfield||CLE||5.900||MIA@CLE 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||Very good matchup and he’s been looking better. Baker is a very tempting play this week with so many icky games out there.|
|8||Josh Allen||BUF||6.400||DEN@BUF 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||This game intrigues me for Allen. On paper, it’s bad, as Fangio’s defense has allowed only a single QB1 (top 12) performance all year according to Evan Silva. The thing I like about this game is that it’s hard to run on Denver and they can take away John Brown to some extent with Chris Harris Jr.. That could force Allen to use his wheels, and unlike most running QBs, putting a spy on him is not exactly fool proof. It had better be a big spy, I’ll tell you that. Sadly, Allen’s high price tag will limit my exposure to him, but a GPP lineup with a Dawson Knox stack makes a little sense. The Broncos do travel cross country for an early game.|
|9||Aaron Rodgers||GB||6.000||GB@SF 11/24/2019 08:20PM ET||Tough matchup and unless they find a way to help him, he’s not going to post a big game here. What we WANT are passes to Aaron Jones and Davante Adams. We’ll see what we get.|
|10||Sam Darnold||NYJ||5.800||OAK@NYJ 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||You can run on the Raiders but you can throw too, and based on the numbers, it’s though the air where Oakland is most vulnerable. That works for the Jets, who need to sell some kind of excitement to their beleaguered fan base. Darnold is stackable with multiple well-priced options. in GPPs, I’m going with Robby Anderson.|
|11||Carson Wentz||PHI||5.600||SEA@PHI 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||His upside is capped by all of the injuries on offense, but this is a solid home matchup agains a beatable secondary, so Wentz is very playable.|
|12||Derek Carr||OAK||6.100||OAK@NYJ 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||Carr lacks high-end weapons and he’s not exactly a predatory downfield thrower. For these reasons, he lacks upside. Having said that, is he can keep his head in the game, and deal with the blitz, a big day could be out there. The Jets are a true pass funnel and that will test the Oakland ground commitment, which is very strong. Stacking car with Tyrell Williams feels sensical.|
|13||Jimmy Garoppolo||SF||6.100||GB@SF 11/24/2019 08:20PM ET||In theory, this is a game they can win by running the bleep out of the ball. This makes me disinclined to spend over 6K on Jimmy G. His banged up receivers are another concern.|
|14||Tom Brady||NE||6.000||DAL@NE 11/24/2019 04:25PM ET||Really hard to like Brady here for DFS. The price is too high and he’s missing weaponry. He’s playable though not highly desirable in seasonal leagues.|
|15||Nick Foles||JAX||5.400||JAX@TEN 11/24/2019 04:05PM ET||This is, by the numbers, a throw-to-win matchup, so maybe Foles has some merit. HC Doug Marrone says they need to get back to the run after last week’s pass heavy game, but the Titans defense is very strong versus the run game. My guess is that, even if they try to run early, they’ll turn to the air eventually. The problem is that both these teams are slow-paced, so the ceiling is limited somewhat.|
|16||Jeff Driskel||DET||5.500||DET@WAS 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||He’s played well and has another shot at success here, versus a dead team.|
|17||Ryan Tannehill||TEN||5.300||JAX@TEN 11/24/2019 04:05PM ET||This looks like a game where they can come in with a run-first intention. So Tanny is not an ideal start this week.|
|18||Ryan Fitzpatrick||MIA||5.000||MIA@CLE 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||The Brown are missing key pieces along their DL, so Fitz has some life here, though not a ton. He’s got back-end Superflex viability.|
|19||Jared Goff||LAR||5.500||BAL@LAR 11/25/2019 08:15PM ET||He’s going to be without Robert Woods (most likely) again and in a very tough matchup. The Ravens are good versus the pass by the numbers but they are now fully healthy, so they are actually much better than the numbers even indicate. No Goff for me.|
|20||Mitchell Trubisky||CHI||5.100||NYG@CHI 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||It sounds like he’s “good” to go. Not a great option, obviously, though the Giants are a good matchup.|
|21||Daniel Jones||NYG||5.700||NYG@CHI 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||Tough matchup, obviously, and Jones has already shown to be a bully, who crushes the weaker opponents but flops against legit teams. Call it the rookie blues. Call it the Shurmur Reality Tour. Call it what you want. It sure seems like a real thing. I’m avoiding Jones where possible this week, but he’ll be back on tap soon.|
|22||Brandon Allen||DEN||4.600||DEN@BUF 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||He's been well north of my expectations but a tough road matchup here.|
|23||Mason Rudolph||PIT||5.500||PIT@CIN 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||The matchup is great but he stinks and will be playing without JuJu and probably Dionate Johnson. James Conner is also a decent bet to sit or be playing at a limited level.|
|24||Kyle Allen||CAR||5.200||CAR@NO 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||A tough matchup after his Week 11 implosion is suboptimal.|
|25||Dwayne Haskins Jr.||WAS||4.900||DET@WAS 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||They don’t even want to pass in Washington, so it’s hardly relevant that Haskins has looked mediocre.|
|26||Ryan Finley||CIN||4.700||PIT@CIN 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||I liked his college film, but he’s been playing a very limited hand with no AJG and no John Ross.|
|27||Matthew Stafford||DET||6.300||DET@WAS 11/24/2019 01:00PM ET||OUT|
|28||Deshaun Watson||HOU||6.500||IND@HOU 11/21/2019 08:20PM ET||(ALREADY PLAYED) The risk here is that this matchup has the potential to become a Carlos Hyde game. That doesn’t mean that Watson can’t go off also, but it’s a complication. Historically, Watson does fairly well versus the Colts and they are an easier matchup this year compared to 2018—when he was mediocre versus them over three games.|
|29||Jacoby Brissett||IND||6.300||IND@HOU 11/21/2019 08:20PM ET||(ALREADY PLAYED) The expected return of T.Y Hilton cannot be overstated in terms of its impact on this offense. It’s also important just because the Colts have other injuries. They need competent bodies, but obviously Hilton’s more than that. He may not be unleashed full time, but he’s not going to be a decoy either. Brissett should get more quality looks with Hilton back in the mix.|