Welcome to the Week 17 Quarterback Rankings!
Well, this week’s been a bit of adventure, but the site is finally working again. I’d like to send a huge shout out to me developer, Jon Nixon, who stepped up and dealt with our hosting company on a holiday weekend. Jon is the best, and thanks to him, the uploads are working again. I was a few hours away from using Google docs to post the rankings. Thankfully that won’t be necessary. So now I’ll be updating the rankings that never went up and they should all be up by early afternoon—just in time for our Week 17 teams.
I’d never forget you folks.
Now, as for Week 17, it’s bad but not as bad as it could be. The Saints and Cowboys are telegraphing their disinterest pretty clearly and we can see how the Chargers might decide to fold up their tents early if the KC/Oakland game goes as expected.
Adam Levitan wrote an excellent article that ties up all the motivational issues with the playoff teams. Check it out to center yourself if you’re not already there.
As far as DFS goes this week, I am on Mahomes in a pretty major way, and I know that won’t gain me much differentiation, but I love the play and we know how badly KC needs the win. I also like the way Damien Williams functions as a receiver in the scheme. He now has one more source for explosion plays in the pass game.
The other quarterback I am going to have shares of is Roethlisberger. Again, I love the organic matchup, but you also have a team that has zero reasons to hold back. They’ll pile on the points and bury the Bengals before they start pulling back. The only concern is the status of Antoinio Brown. If he sits, then I’ll reassess.
In big GPPs, I’ll have some Josh Allen exposure because I love the Dolphins as a road apple opponent.
The wide receivers will be up soon, followed by the running backs and tight ends.
|1||Patrick Mahomes||KC||7.100||OAK@KC 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They need the win and the matchup is choice. This could be an explosive day for Mahomes.|
|2||Ben Roethlisberger||PIT||7.000||CIN@PIT 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They need it and it’s a home game versus a dead team. Only Mahomes in a good spot keeps Big Ben from being this week’s QB1 though Antonio Brown’s (knee) health is now a thing to watch. Ben is strong play either way but the monster game is more likely with Brown active.|
|3||Aaron Rodgers||GB||6.300||DET@GB 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Rodgers had nothing to play for last week and he sliced up the Jets, so there’s no reason for him to not do the same to the hapless Lions in front of his hometown fans. If Davante Adams sits, then Rodgers should be downgraded and viewed as a fringe QB1.|
|4||Matt Ryan||ATL||6.300||ATL@TB 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||It’s a solid throw-to-win matchup and they are trying to get Julio his stats and all that. Ryan has a sturdy floor here.|
|5||Jared Goff||LAR||6.200||SF@LAR 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They can fall out of the 2nd seed with a loss and a Vikings win, so they absolutely need the win. The matchup is a good one so expect a good day from Goff. I also think it’s worth mentioning that they need to get their QB going, and without Gurley, they will need him here. I do not see them putting the pass game away until they have some success.|
|6||Andrew Luck||IND||0||IND@TEN 12/30/2018 08:00PM ET||This game is off the DK main slate, but for seasonal it’s a safe place—with both teams in the same win-and-in situation. This is a very interesting (or maybe just annoying) matchup in that we have one of the fastest team in terms of pace of play versus a team that plays way ugly. I expect a solid day from Luck, but a monster day seems unlikely against this defense.|
|7||Lamar Jackson||BAL||5.600||CLE@BAL 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They are win-and-in and will almost assuredly get knocked out with a loss because the Steelers are not about to lose to the Bengals at home. He’s looked better and better as a passer (in terms of comfort level), so he’s got some ceiling here in my view. The Browns will be without star rookie cornerback Denzel Ward which helps.|
|8||Deshaun Watson||HOU||6.600||JAX@HOU 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Tough-ish matchup based on the defense being talented, but the Texans need this game badly as they would love to get guys like DeAndre Hopkins a week off, not to mention a better shot at more home games.|
|9||Nick Foles||PHI||5.900||PHI@WAS 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||It’s hard to bet against Foles when he’s hot. Obviously, the Eagles need the game and some help, so they will be gunning hard for the win. Washington is solid defensively but not scary enough to downgrade a hot QB. Foles is startable as a fringe QB1.|
|10||Jameis Winston||TB||6.100||ATL@TB 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Good matchup and they’ll want to see as much as him as they can with some decisions coming their way with his contract. Solid spot for stats.|
|11||Tom Brady||NE||6.000||NYJ@NE 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Not a bad matchup and they need the win. The Jets love to blitz so Brady will have some chances to make big plays but he’ll have to take some hits to make it happen. He’s a serviceable starter—a fringe QB1. I’m not using him in DFS but if I did, I’d stack with either Edelman or maybe Hogan in bigger GPPs. I expect the Patriots to win this game cleanly and they should be able to go run-heavy on the whole.|
|12||Russell Wilson||SEA||6.100||ARI@SEA 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||The Seahawks are locked in but cannot upgrade to a bye, so they don’t have a ton to play for. Not sure if they’d pull Russ, but I can see them running often in a game they can win easily.|
|13||Philip Rivers||LAC||6.400||LAC@DEN 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They need a Chiefs loss and a win to get the bye week and the top seed, and they play at the same time, so expect Rivers to go for the win but there is some risk of scoreboard-watching here. If the Chiefs are way ahead in the second half, Rivers COULD get pulled.|
|14||Josh Allen||BUF||6.000||MIA@BUF 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||He’s got plenty of upside here but we saw his downside last week so be sober about the risk side. Allen is a risky upside play with a monster ceiling if he runs and hot a few big plays in the pass game.|
|15||Kirk Cousins||MIN||5.500||CHI@MIN 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||They have decided to be a run-heavy team and that’s the offense you should anticipate seeing this weekend rather than the high-flying pass-heavy unit we saw back in September and October. This is also a tough matchup. Cousins will play to win right to the final whistle, but pass volume is unlikely unless they fall behind.|
|16||Baker Mayfield||CLE||5.300||CLE@BAL 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||Tough matchup, but Mayfield is a tough customer. A big day is not likely in the cards but a decent day should be. The Ravens are totally legit on D.|
|17||Mitchell Trubisky||CHI||5.700||CHI@MIN 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||The Bears still have bye hopes so using Trubisky is not awful from a competitive standpoint THOUGH they could relax down the stretch IF the rams are blowing out the 49ers. The bigger reason to consider benching Trubisky is the matchup. Minnesota is legit good on defense and they are playing for their lives. So to me, he’s playable but he’s in the QB2 range.|
|18||Sam Darnold||NYJ||5.200||NYJ@NE 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Darnold is viable but we have more pitfalls on the table this week—on the road against a strong team who needs the win. You also have a defense that will take away your favorite toy, so using Robby Anderson as the keystone to a big day is less likely than it was against the Packers. Darnold will need foot points and he’ll need to get a lot out of Chris Herndon, Elijah McGuire and Jermaine Kearse. I’m not betting on that if I can avoid it.|
|19||Derek Carr||OAK||5.100||OAK@KC 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||He’s very unsexy but he’s been providing decent stats for months now. He’s a decent floor play here, but not much upside.|
|20||Case Keenum||DEN||4.800||LAC@DEN 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||Tough matchup, but at least you know he’s the guy.|
|21||Teddy Bridgewater||NO||5.300||CAR@NO 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Should start for Brees or at least play the bulk of the game.|
|22||Blake Bortles||JAX||4.400||JAX@HOU 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Oh who knows. He’s starting and it’s a throw-to-win matchup. That said, do the Jaguars know that?|
|23||Nick Mullens||SF||4.700||SF@LAR 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||I do not like Mullens here as the 49ers have been a lot better at home versus on the road AND because the 49ers are missing so many weapons now. He’s playable in a game script that will eventually favor pass volume but to me, that’s the only significant plus I see. Play him only if needed.|
|24||Josh Johnson||WAS||4.800||PHI@WAS 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||He’s shown the ability to score fantasy points, but Washington is really hurting with injures.|
|25||Matthew Stafford||DET||5.200||DET@GB 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||No weapons and he’s not healthy. Pass.|
|26||Eli Manning||NYG||4.900||DAL@NYG 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Dallas will be conceding portions of this game by resting starters and that could help the Giants a bit, but no OBJ, so no thanks.|
|27||Ryan Tannehill||MIA||4.600||MIA@BUF 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Tough matchup and thsi team is about to go through offseason upheaval. I expect a mediocre day.|
|28||Kyle Allen||CAR||4.000||CAR@NO 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Tough matchup and obviously he’s a street QB, though we thought his college film showed a competent game manager.|
|29||Jeff Driskel||CIN||4.600||CIN@PIT 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||He’s shown himself relatively well, but the cupboard is bare in Cincy and the Steelers will be loaded for bear.|
|30||Marcus Mariota||TEN||0||IND@TEN 12/30/2018 08:00PM ET||If he plays, he will be ineffective. If he’s out, it’ll be Blaine Gabbert at QB.|
|31||Josh Rosen||ARI||4.400||ARI@SEA 12/30/2018 04:25PM ET||No way.|
|32||Dak Prescott||DAL||5.800||DAL@NYG 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||I doubt he plays much.|
|33||Drew Brees||NO||6.500||CAR@NO 12/30/2018 01:00PM ET||Will sit all of most of the game.|