Welcome to the Week 3 QB Rankings. There’s a certain solemn quality to the QB pool this week, as we have lost three of the better quarterbacks of the modern era. Brees, Eli Manning and Roethlisberger, no matter what you think of them individually, have left a big huge collective crater in NFL history. They’ve all won Super Bowls and they’ve started TONS of games and been in our fantasy lineups for years.
Kudos to them if this ends up being the end, or the precursor to the end.
Hopefully nothing happens to Brady and Rivers. It’s nice to have some sage out there.
So while this week is somewhat somber, it’s also an introduction of sorts, with a lot fo new names in the rankings.
- Daniel Jones
- Teddy Bridgewater
- Mason Rudolph
- Kyle Allen
- Luke Falk
Allen made a start last year and we know Teddy from way back in the day, but none of these guys are names we expected to care about this season save for Jones. Yet here we are. We also have Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew making starts and lets not leave out Ryan Fitzmagic and Case Keenum, the seat-warmers, who do nothing to engender fantasy excitement. Yup, it’s thin out there, especially in Superflex.
As always, there will be a Saturday update to the article, so check back before finalizing those lineups.
I’ll be back in a bit with the wide receivers and then the running back and tight ends.
If you missed yesterday’s buy-low pod, you can listen below.
WEEK 3 RANKINGS
|1||Patrick Mahomes||KC||7.600||BAL@KC 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||The Ravens secondary is not at full strength and that should be enough to trust Mahomes as a typical play—within the realm of Mahomes outcomes. The safe stack is Kelce because his role is impossible for defenses to take away without opening floodgates all over. And, his role within the scheme does not change much from week to week.|
|2||Lamar Jackson||BAL||7.000||BAL@KC 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||He’s rolling and he’ll be forced to empty the toolbox in this game—which is huge with this player. We want the full Lamar—foot-points combined with some of those new-fangled passing stats. I know without hesitation that I will be buying both sides of the Lamar/Mahomes matchup in DFS. They are both obvious green lights in seasonal—as if you needed me to tell you that.|
|3||Deshaun Watson||HOU||6.400||HOU@LAC 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Fuller is going to have some good matchups no matter what, so he feels like the safe stack option when you factor in cost. If you like low-owned stacks, you’ll probably like that angle as well. I think the masses will be more on Nuk. Watson should be a solid play here—in a game where his opponent can definitely post some points. There’s big game potential here if they can keep the Chargers from slowing things down too much.|
|4||Dak Prescott||DAL||6.500||MIA@DAL 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||As with Brady, there will be a point in this game where they will start mercy-killing the clock. Before that happens, most of the Cowboys will eat and that includes Dak.|
|5||Josh Allen||BUF||5.900||CIN@BUF 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||Cincy has been QB-friendly so far and I don’t like their chances here, on the road, in Buffalo. Buffalo has no ground game to lean on right now, so they will continue to push the score—even if they get a big lead. I’m liking Allen a lot as a tournament play, though that’s almost always going to be the case when he is this cheap. Stacking with Brown and also Beasley is still highly affordable.|
|6||Kyler Murray||ARI||5.800||CAR@ARI 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||This could be a bit of a breakout matchup as both teams will play fast and Arizona means to play fas as a general rule. IF the Cards can keep the pace up high and get the defense gassed, then things could get wild in the second half. If you think that will happen, bump him up a few spots. If the Panthers can keep the game balanced in terms of TOP, then their defense can be the defining unit in this game.|
|7||Tom Brady||NE||6.600||NYJ@NE 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||You could argue that they don’t have to throw a pass to win this game, and you’d be right, but they will. Brady will get 2-3 scores in the first 2-3 quarters while the Pats play with the Jets, like a cat plays with a mouse. ***Update*** Brady gets downgraded across the board with the loss of Antonio Brown. He’s still going to be solid with Gordon (if he lasts) and Edelman and the rest of the crew, but AB was going to make this a Monopoly money kind of offense. He’s still going to destroy the Jets, obviously.|
|8||Russell Wilson||SEA||6.300||NO@SEA 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Most any other team would be looking to up the pace on the Saints, but this is the Seahawks we are talking about. Wilson has a great chance at a big day but there’s always the chance that they go run-heavy if they get a lead early. He’s a nice seasonal play and if I use him in DFS, I’ll stack with Lockett, but I’m not likely to do that.|
|9||Carson Wentz||PHI||5.600||DET@PHI 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||He’s an interesting play as few will be on him, but he still has plenty of weapons and this is a pass-funnel matchup that favors his slot receiver, who should be Agholor for the most part. With JJAW and Agholor both dirt cheap, a full-on Eagles stack with Golladay coming back on the other side, has me a little intrigued.|
|10||Aaron Rodgers||GB||6.100||DEN@GB 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||This is Rodgers’ best matchup so far. He should be a trustworthy QB1 in seasonal leagues. Any of his receivers make sense in a stack but the sneaky play this week is Valdes-Scantling, who has his best matchup of the year against CB Isaac Yiadom—assuming the pregame projections hold.|
|11||Matt Ryan||ATL||5.700||ATL@IND 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||This has the look of a get-well game to some extent. If Matt Ryan ban be patient and take what the Colts give him, he should be able to orchestrate some drives. The Colts are missing several key defensive components. CB Pierre Desir may sit with a knee injury, and that helps Julio Jones.|
|12||Jimmy Garoppolo||SF||6.200||PIT@SF 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Garoppolo has really turned things around and this offense is still getting polished in terms of roles. Only Jimmy and Kittle are truly locked in at this point, so if you are stacking him, that’s the safe place to be right now. This is a good matchup|
|13||Jameis Winston||TB||5.400||NYG@TB 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||He’s certainly playable here—against a Giants defense that has been a breeding ground for good QB play. Both QBs to play this D so far have been top 7 performers on that week. It’s a small sample, but still, this in a solid matchup. If you are rolling the bones with Jameis, you can really stack with any of his big guns—including the dreaded OJ Howard, if you have the stones.|
|14||Philip Rivers||LAC||5.800||HOU@LAC 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Not a bad home matchup for Rivers and the Keenan stack feels lie cheating. Throwing in Ekeler to own more of the potential big plays feels smart, too.|
|15||Baker Mayfield||CLE||6.000||LAR@CLE 09/22/2019 08:20PM ET||They lose a weapon with Njoku’s wrist injury but it could concentrate the downfield targets even more to Beckham and the other outside receivers. I like the Mayfield/OBJ stack but it’s a bit pricey for the way I am looking at building this week. Things could certainly change. It’s still early. Aqib Talib shadowing is probably enough to make me look elsewhere.|
|16||Jared Goff||LAR||6.100||LAR@CLE 09/22/2019 08:20PM ET||I’m not a big fan of Goff on the road though their scheme should be able to neutralize some of the Browns strengths in coverage, at least in theory. Just throw away from|
|17||Matthew Stafford||DET||5.500||DET@PHI 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||Like I was talking about in the waiver wire, this will swing on the Lions coaches. They should be attacking here as you can’t run much on Philly and they are currently susceptible to the pass. I like Stafford as a solid QB2 this week.|
|18||Daniel Jones||NYG||5.000||NYG@TB 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||In a week where folks will need to make some hard streaming choices, I will strongly suggest Jones, who gets a solid matchup versus the Bucs. Jones is also a mobile QB who looks to take yards with his feet. Stacking with Engram is advisable as the Bucs have been beaten by TEs so far this season, and since engram’s volume is beyond locked in at this point. Adding Saquon to the stack also makes some sense IF you trust the Giants coaching staff…[out over my skis here]….because so much of his value will be tied to Jones. If they make a concerted effort to throw Barkley the football, he could have a huge day. If they just mindlessly pound the football, it could be bad.|
|19||Mason Rudolph||PIT||4.800||PIT@SF 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||He’s got to get some experience before we really know much about his long term chances, but his natural tendency towards aggression is good news for his receivers. Stacking with JuJu & McDonald is my feel for this week. At 4800, I’m tempted to make a GPP lineup just for fun.|
|20||Kyle Allen||CAR||4.000||CAR@ARI 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||Play him if you need him but hopefully you have a more stable commodity.|
|21||Andy Dalton||CIN||5.300||CIN@BUF 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||Tough matchup even though I like where the scheme is headed. Boyd would be the guy to own in the pass game this week. We saw what Crowder did to this defense Week 1. They will give up catches in the middle of the field. Not seeing the upside for the offense as a whole. They won’t be able to run, so forget throwing off of the run and it’s hard to loosen this D up with big plays, because they defend them so well. I’m thinking about firing up the BUF DEF, to be honest.|
|22||Kirk Cousins||MIN||5.100||OAK@MIN 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||The pass volume has been so low that he’s a guy to avoid—in a game where Oakland is unlikely to force them to the pass game. This game just screams ugly.|
|23||Jacoby Brissett||IND||5.200||ATL@IND 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||You could do worse but this is not a great matchup and the Colts are playing things very close to the vest on offense. That’s a bit scary when you consider that Marlon Mack is going to be playing at less than 100% if he plays at all. You needs some running impact to set up all these screens they want to run.|
|24||Teddy Bridgewater||NO||4.700||NO@SEA 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Too risky when we don’t know how much Taysom Hill will throw the ball. Hill PLAYING is not a big concern, but if he’s stealing passing attempts, it’s obviously an issue. Bridgewater is being underrated in my view, but I still need to see him hold up. He can definitely handle the moment. The kid is tough as nails inside. He’s also smart and if you need evidence, he was wise enough to pass up a starting gig with Miami. If taking the contrarian plunge, the stacking chips would be MT but also Kamara. Logic being, if Teddy goes off, he’ll have found a way to get Kamara off.|
|25||Case Keenum||WAS||4.700||CHI@WAS 09/23/2019 08:15PM ET||Very tough matchup so we can just be thankful it’s off the main slate.|
|26||Mitchell Trubisky||CHI||5.100||CHI@WAS 09/23/2019 08:15PM ET||He’s playing poorly and he’s he’s been horrible in nationally televised games. The matchup is beatable so use him if you must, but there’s obviously some risk here.|
|27||Joe Flacco||DEN||4.600||DEN@GB 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||A tough road matchup for Flacco, so you’d have to be desperate. Granted, some of are this week, so you have my best wishes if you must root for Flacco this week.|
|28||Luke Falk||NYJ||4.600||NYJ@NE 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||The Jets could have Dan Marino at QB this week and they’d be in trouble.|
|29||Derek Carr||OAK||4.900||OAK@MIN 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||No way, Jose. His best options will be in tough matchups this week and Josh Jacobs is less than 100%. Start the Vikes D.|
|30||Josh Rosen||MIA||4.500||MIA@DAL 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||Rosen will start in this horrendous spot but at least they are sort of building towards something now. For us, we use Rosen and we’re building a win for our opponent. Fade him everywhere possible.|
|31||Taysom Hill||NO||4.400||NO@SEA 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||Will play more this week though not sure how much of the action will have him throwing the football.|
|32||Cam Newton||CAR||6.000||CAR@ARI 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||Doubtful (foot/soul)|
|33||Will Grier||CAR||4.000||CAR@ARI 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET|
|34||Drew Brees||NO||6.000||NO@SEA 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||OUT (thumb)|
|35||Ben Roethlisberger||PIT||5.600||PIT@SF 09/22/2019 04:25PM ET||IR|
|36||Eli Manning||NYG||5.100||NYG@TB 09/22/2019 04:05PM ET||Benched|
|37||Ryan Fitzpatrick||MIA||4.500||MIA@DAL 09/22/2019 01:00PM ET||He’s bad and he is a good bet to replaced in-game. ***UPDATE*** It happened pre-game! Fitz has been benched.|
|38||Marcus Mariota||TEN||5.200||TEN@JAX 09/19/2019 08:20PM ET||(ALREADY PLAYED) The matchup is unexciting and I’m, fading it for DFS. Mariota is playable but not much in the way of ceiling unless he runs a lot which is tough to predict.|
|39||Gardner Minshew II||JAX||4.900||TEN@JAX 09/19/2019 08:20PM ET||(ALREADY PLAYED) This game is so ugly looking. Thankfully it’s not on the main slate. Minshew is startable only in deeper Superflex formats in a game like this—where both teams will suck the air out if the game by being sun-heavy.|