DraftKings Week 3: Evolving Value

By: Pete Davidson : September 26, 2015 3:53pm

Bookmark and Share

If you listen to the Fantasy Football Hour (as you should!), you know that Jim and I like to talk about evolving value every week. You can call it anything you like, but evolving value is just a way of saying mispriced player, and it’s usually related to injury.

A player who look like a waste of money on Tuesday morning can end up being the steal of the week if the starter goes down with an injury or perhaps there’s an injury to the player we thought would be covering said waste. For example, if Darrelle Revis’ sore groin causes him to miss this week’s game, we would say that Nelson Agholor has some evolving value. Don’t get too excited. Revis looks like he’ll be out there on Sunday, but there are a few other situations for you to watch closely for evolving value in Week 3.

QUARTERBACK

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jets vs. Eagles — $5,100

No, I don’t want to make this move either, but there’s some sneaky value here. As my buddy Martin Frank points out, the Eagles are missing some big pieces on defense. Meanwhile, the Jets will be throwing the ball often with Chris Ivory nursing a groin that could keep him out of the game entirely. If that comes to pass, I expect the Jets to throw … and throw often—setting up Fitz as a high-volume passer who you can get just above the price floor for the position. It’s not the worst contrarian move out there, if you are looking for that sort of thing.

RUNNING BACK

Devonta Freeman, Falcons at Cowboys — $4,600

He may not be a massive steal like some of the other guys here, but Freeman is a lock to start and Tevin Coleman has already been ruled out. Freeman has big upside against the Cowboys and makes sense in both tournaments and in head-to-head or 50-50 contests.

Bilal Powell, Jets vs. Eagles — $3,000

Powell is a sneaky play if Chris Ivory is active, but he is a must-start guy if Ivory is declared out. Powell will get 20 touches and he’ll catch some passes—perhaps a lot of them. Keep your head on a swivel here. Powell is a better DraftKings fit than Ivory is because he's a good receiver out of the backfield. 

Damien Williams, Dolphins vs. Bills — $3,000

It’s looking like Lamar Miller is going to play, but if you are going to play a Miami RB, it should be Williams, who is a big savings over Miller, and is likely to be splitting time. Williams will catch more passes and he is the healthy player. Of course, the real reason to be paying attention here is if Miller ends up sitting out the game. In that scenario, Williams is a potential steal and will find his way into some of my lineups.

James Starks, Packers vs. Chiefs — $3,000

He’s a sneaky play right now, but he won’t be a home run unless Eddie Lacy is declared out. If that happens before the games on Sunday, you will want to get Starks in some lineups. It’s a no brainer.

Fred Jackson, Seahawks vs. Bears — $3,000

This is a dicey one because it’s a 4:25 pm game, but Marshawn Lynch is a game time decision. So there are a few points here. The first, is be careful with using Lynch. If you do have him in there, Jackson could help you if you need to switch Marshawn out. You’d gain 4,400 units making the switch, so you better have a place you can upgrade, and remember there are only two games that start after Seattle. Don’t wait too long on this one. One move is to put Jackson in your lineup and then switch him out for another cheap option if Lynch ends up starting. Both Starks and Damien Williams are good plays that you can move to at that time.

WIDE RECEIVER

Devin Smith, Jets vs. Eagles — $3,000

For the risk-takers…. You want a deep dart throw that is highly contrarian and yet has a shot at posting some points? Meet Mr. Smith. It looks like Eric Decker is going to sit, and Chris Owusu is already out. The Jets staff has soured on Jeremy Kerley. So, while the entire planet runs to Brandon Marshall, and while the sneaky ones draft Quincy Enunwa, you can be different and play Smith, who will have an exposure level of less than 1 percent. Sure, it will probably be a waste a few bucks, but if he goes off, you have a very nice cheap tournament play. If Decker is active, do not try this, but if he is out, the Jets have little choice but to unveil their prized rookie, and trust me, this kid is prized for a reason.

TIGHT END

Coby Fleener, Colts at Titans — $3,000

He will be close to an every down player this week due to Dwayne Allen’s ankle injury. Fleener obviously has a good rapport with Andrew Luck as they were roommates in their Stanford days. We’ve seen this connection lead to touchdowns many times in the past, so you have to like Fleener at 3,000 units. He will find his way into a lineup of mine this week. Maybe a few of them. It’s very much worth the risk.

Brandon Myers, Bucs at Texans — $2,500

With Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder) out, Myers will start and he is available at the price floor. You simply can’t spend less on a player, and this is a guy who will almost assuredly catch a few passes this week and he has a chance to score. While I wouldn’t go building all of my teams around Myers this week, I will have him in a lineup or two.
 

(1) Comments Add A Comment

Previous Comments

#1 from .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on June 18, 2017

Adguard - Internet drain N1 in Net. One of the excellent and potent utilities on account of blocking all kinds of advertising, protecting your critical facts on the network and preventing visits to pinchbeck sites. It includes 3 main modules: Antibanner, Antiphishing and Parental Control. Supports all the most popular and not truly browser (more than 20) - Chrome, Safari and others.
In withal to the shop-worn advertising blocks and banners, the program definitely copes with pop-up windows, filters out video advertising, plenty media and other uncommon types of advertising. In appendix, this gimmick can also screen porn banners, and conventionally evaluate the undamaged put in requital for the association of “mature” theme and conclude its aegis for children.
Also, the program database contains a registry of malicious and crafty sites, where a hardly million resources are inflicted, harming PC users. Coloured lists are regularly updated and replenished - you can be sure of the current online protection.
In the midst other serviceable features, it is good highlighting the strengthen of the WOT (Cobweb of Trust) service, which informs all over the change-over to pages of sites with lowly repute according to the rendition of the Internet users themselves. And given that all advertising is removed regular ahead uploading to the PC, this allows you to alacrity up the whole loading of the pages and salvage on movement, which is predominantly top-level if you are not using myriad Internet access.
In communal, this is really usable, and equable the moral petition seeking all users, which wish protect, and optimize, and defend with everyday play of the Internet, which you just now do not recognize.
Adguard starts work right after placement, does not desire configuration and is updated regularly.
Download - https://myfile.org/a4a8M2bdba/adguard.exe

Add Your Comment

Name:
Email:
URL:
Comments:

Remember me?

Shoot me an email when someone responds?

Is the color of the Philadelphia Eagles green or red?