The Waiver Wire 10/10
A look at the Week 6 pickups
This is getting ridiculous. It’s been one whammy after another in 2017. A few of my teams are taking water after Odell Beckham went down. I assume plenty of you are in the same boat. There’s no easy way out, so we’ll just have to grind and do the best we can. And, Beckham was just the tip of the iceberg in Week 5. His teammate Brandon Marshall was also lost for the year. The Bills lost Charles Clay, who was producing for them and for fantasy GMs. Other players who suffered Week 5 injuries include J.J. Watt, Travis Kelce, Chris Conley, Bilal Powell, DeVante Parker and Sterling Shepard. Thankfully for the Giants, Shepard could return for Week 6. Kelce is in the league’s concussion protocol and could play as well. Parker (ankle) and Powell (calf) also have a chance to play in Week 6.
My apologies for the lack of a podcast this week and the lack of a DFS pod last week. There is simply too much noise to record because there is work being done to the siding of my house. It’s going to be over soon. Thank God.
The ownership rates listed below were sourced from Yahoo! They reflect a player’s ownership, not their availability.
Trevor Siemian, Broncos, 30 percent
He’s played better than most folks expected and he is now past his bye week. The good news doesn’t end there. Denver plays a very nice schedule for the pass once they get through the next two weeks. He’s playable against the Giants this week if you need him. Starting with Philadelphia in Week 9, Siemian is a good play every week save for week 16 against Washington. Go get him if you play matchups at quarterback or if you need a solid QB2.
Jacoby Brissett, Colts, 12 percent
In terms of winning games in real football, Brissett is still a work in progress, but he can help you in fantasy while he develops because he’s a very good athlete and he likes to use his wheels, with three rushing touchdowns in the last three games. His matchup with Tennessee this week is far from frightening. For fantasy purposes, you can ride Brissett until Andrew Luck returns—probably in about three weeks.
Case Keenum, Vikings, 5 percent
He’s far from ideal but he’s probably starting this week with Bradford looking pretty beat up on Monday Night Football. Keenum hosts the Packers this week so there is a good chance he will have to put the ball in the air a lot. He’s a potential solution for you if you are in a bind and can’t land Siemian or Brissett.
Backs like Javorious Allen, Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara and Andre Ellington (in full PPR) all make good adds, but they are all over 50 percent in terms of ownership, so there’s a good chance you or somebody else already has them.
Jerick McKinnon, Vikings, 29 percent
He looked great last night and he absolutely outplayed Latavius Murray. While Murray will have a role and that role may include goal line carries, but McKinnon is the guy to target on waiver wires if you still have a shot at him. He’s a big talent and he’s got the ability to be a big factor in the passing game. He’s also earned more early down carries going forward. Get Jerick. This is probably your last chance.
Rex Burkhead, Patriots, 11 percent
He should be back soon—probably this week and he’s going to be a playmaker for the Patriots as we’ve seen already in his limited action. As injuries continue to mount for the Patriots, a player like Burkhead becomes more valuable. I think he is worth owning in all leagues during the bye weeks. You can reassess after that. He has the ability to be a lead runner if the Patriots need him to be that, so if you lean on Mike Gillislee in a 12-team league, you can consider Burkhead as handcuff option.
Elijah McGuire, Jets, 17 percent
Bilal Powell and Matt Forte are both banged up. McGuire is an excellent receiver, so he can really help you this week in full PPR leagues. He can also help you as a handcuff if you are dependent on Powell. The Jets face the Patriots this week.
Adrian Peterson, Cardinals, 39 percent
He’d obviously have made the morning wire over at WEEI, but he was dealt after that article was submitted. AP certainly has a high ceiling, but there are obvious concerns here. While his value absolutely goes up with the move, he is going to a team with a weak offensive line and he is unlikely to see much third down work with Andre Ellington playing well in that role. Game flow will also be a concern. So maybe you go after AP aggressively if you are looking for a silver bullet, but there’s a decent chance it’s going to be a dud. I’d be adding him in any league where I had some space. Obviously, his value is greatest in non-PPR.
Marlon Mack, Colts, 10 percent
He’s raw, and that would hurt him in a lot of situations, but not in Indy. The Colts are definitely open to playing younger guys and they may have something in Mack if they can get his fundamentals cleaned up. Frank Gore isn’t going away, but Mack may be able to earn a split if he continues to impress. He is worth a speculative add in all but the smallest formats.
Matt Breida, 49ers, 7 percent
I’m honestly not sure what to make of the 49ers’ backfield situation. As much as I’d like to pimp Breida as one of Rotobahn’s better 2017 rookie touts, I can’t get past the reality that Carlos Hyde is a superior back due to his size and experience. The 49ers are saying this is a hot hand situation and, if true, that would mean Breida is a high priority pick up. The thing is, I think they are blowing smoke. I think it’s about a few things. One, Hyde’s banged up with lingering hip soreness. Two, he’s got to be paid at year’s end and one of the benefits of Kyle Shanahan’s ground scheme is that they get a lot out of street level runners. So they may just be trying to get a good look at Breida, and they may also want to prepare him for a potential lead role in 2018. So I don’t think this situation can be taken at face value, but with Hyde’s hip, and with no other back on the roster worth talking about, Breida is a guy to roster in 12-team leagues and a guy to monitor in all formats. Just don’t count on him getting half of the action.
Alex Collins, Ravens, 40 percent
Collins is not my favorite back but he’s a good sustaining early down runner. He’s not much as a receiver and he’s had fumbling issues. Most importantly, they seem to trust Buck Allen a lot more and they give him the bulk of the snaps. Still, in bigger leagues, Collins could be an option as a bye week replacement with Terrance West banged up for the near term.
Orleans Darkwa (3 percent) & Wayne Gallman (39 percent) , Giants
There are a lot of ways to spin the Giants’ backfield. No one player has taken the job and now they will have to run against stacked boxes due to the loss of Odell Beckham and to a lesser extent Brandon Marshall. There’s also the possibility that Paul Perkins gets another shot once he is healthy. Shane Vereen also steals some ceiling away from whomever plays on early downs. This is not a great situation, but you may be able to steal some bye week production. Gallman has passing down chops, so I like him a bit better if your league uses PPR scoring.
Cooper Kupp, Rams, 47 percent
Kupp’s been heavily targeted for a rookie so his role could continue to grow as he and Jared Goff continue to learn the offense. The one note of caution is that he has a tough matchup with the Jaguars this week. He does play most of his snaps in the slot, which could help a bit. He’s probably owned unless you play in a big league, but he’s under 50 percent, so he’s being listed. Go kick the tires on him just in case.
JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers, 6 percent
If you read last week’s waiver wire, you may already have him. The rookie is getting consistent looks and is consistently playing more snaps than Martavis Bryant. The snaps are nice but it’s the particular routes he’s running that make me want him in my lineup. The Steelers are using JuJu much the same way they used to use Bryant. The rookie is getting great matchups while Bryant and Antonio Brown battle on the outside. I am rostering Smith-Schuster wherever I can. He is playable during the byes and he has the potential to really take off if he continues to improve.
John Brown, Cardinals, 37 percent
He’s a poor bet to stay healthy, otherwise he’d be a huge priority add. He returned to a starter’s role in Week 5 and that’s certainly encouraging. He also caught at touchdown. There are plenty of good matchups left on the Cardinals’ schedule—including a good matchup with Tampa Bay this week. What can Brown do for you? Plenty. He just needs to stay healthy.
Mike Wallace, Ravens, 34 percent
He’s not playing enough snaps are getting enough targets to be consistent but he’s been productive the last two weeks and that’s something. Wallace is a a player to use right now and maybe the rest of the way if you get a little lucky. He plays the Bears this week.
Marqise Lee, Jaguars, 37 percent
He’s getting back to full health playing through sore ribs. I expect his snap totals to rise in the coming weeks and that should make him a dependable flex play or WR3 during the bye weeks. The fact that Jacksonville is really running the ball well will only open up downfield opportunities for Lee and Allen Hurns, who is also a solid pick up in 12-team leagues and is owned at a rate of 49 percent.
Nelson Agholor, Eagles, 32 percent
His snaps and receiving yards are rising steadily. He’s been in the end zone three times through five games. I think he continues to play more snaps than Torrey Smith. Agholor is a legit option in 12-team leagues. He needs to be owned. His role could continue to grow and he appears to have his drop issues behind him.
Ricardo Louis, Browns, Browns, 1 percent
With Corey Coleman out for another month or so, Louis looks like he’s the Browns number one receiver. Kenny Britt has been awful and head coach Hue Jackson loves to throw downfield. That fits Louis’ skill set well. The second year receiver has led the Browns in snaps for three consecutive weeks and he continues to make plays. He’s been targeted 17 times over the last two weeks. I expect him to be a playable option in 12-team leagues throughout the bye crunch and he is available most everywhere.
Josh Gordon, Browns, 4 percent
He’s the ultimate stash right now. Gordon may never play again. He may not play until next year. That said, he could be playing in a few weeks as well, and if he does, he could easily be a league winner because there is a massive target vacuum in Cleveland. Of course, it’s quite possible that Cleveland wants no part of Gordon. If so, he could be waived or dealt and there are nice possibilities in that scenario as well. He’s a lottery ticket. I already have him rostered in a few leagues and I may add him in a few more. We should have more actionable information soon, so you probably won’t have to hold him all that long if things break wrong.
Demarcus Robinson, Chiefs, 0 percent
Most folks will be picking up Albert Wilson (1 percent ownership) in the wake of Chris Conley’s season ending injury, but in deeper formats, and especially in dynasty, I prefer Robinson, who is a true downfield threat. He’s a stash rather than a player who will be startable this week, but if he hits, he could hit big.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets, 29 percent
He’s on the verge of possibly becoming the Jets lead receiver or at least their most targeted one. On an offense bereft of talent, Seferian-Jenkins can potentially fill the target vacuum. He is a priority add in all leagues during the bye weeks and he may be a TE1 the rest of the way. This is a guy who has had major off field issues including a DUI, but he’s really turned things around and he’s worth betting on for the rest for 2017.
David Njoku, Browns, 7 percent
Alright, this is starting to get frustrating. The Browns took this guy in the first round. He’s scoring touchdowns and drawing PI calls in the end zone on a regular basis, yet the Browns are still making him split snaps with Seth Devalve. Njoku has three touchdowns on 15 targets in 2017. It’s getting harder and harder for the Browns to keep this dude off the field. I strongly suggest rostering him now if you can. The obvious move for the Browns is to play both tight ends together, but if they are too close minded for that, they need to give the rookie more snaps and targets at DeValve’s expense. He’s too explosive to be watching from the sidelines and this team is seriously lacking in terms of downfield weapons.
Tyler Eifert, Bengals, 44 percent
He’s hurt and he is on the bye this week. Oh, and he’s done close to nothing this season. All that said, Eifert is a touchdown machine when healthy—the kind of tight end who can be elite for fantasy. I’m stashing Eifert in all leagues where he’s been dropped just in case he gets healthy. The Bengals have plenty of good matchups down the stretch. Eifert is an under the radar stash right now and he’s a potential league winner.
Coby Fleener, Saints, 47 percent
I’m a non fan, but he has a very nice matchup this week and he’s had his share of good moments this season. Fleener has a home tilt with the Lions this week. These would be the same Lions who were absolutely destroyed by Ed freaking Dickson last week. That’s called opportunity, my friends.
George Kittle, 49ers, 1 percent
Kittle had a big day last week against the Colts. Of course that was a sweet matchup so you don’t want to get too excited. That said, he’s got another good matchup this week against Washington, so he could be of use to you if you have bye week issues. And who knows, maybe you end up catching some lightning in a bottle. I mean, it’s not like the 49ers have a lot of other places to throw the football.
Ed Dickson, Panthers, 8 percent
He’s a viable guy in deep leagues until Greg Olson returns. He exploded last week but that was more of an anomaly then the beginning of a trend. Deep leagues only, folks.
- Tight End Rankings Week 14
- Wide Receiver Rankings Week 14
- Running Back Rankings Week 14
- Quarterback Rankings Week 14
- Update on Rotobahn
- The Waiver Wire 12/5
- Tight End Rankings Week 13
- Wide Receiver Rankings Week 13
- Running Back Rankings Week 13
- Quarterback Rankings Week 13