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The Waiver Wire 10/3

The Waiver Wire 10/3

A look at the Week 4 pickups (updates coming late afternoon)
By: Pete Davidson : October 03, 2017 12:59pm

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Welcome back to the waiver wire. This could have been a slow week apart from the first set of byes. Sadly, there were more injuries to important players. That means there will be heavy action on most wires this week. Hopefully you still have some cash left if your league using a bidding set up.

Here is a short list of the key injuries from week 4:

  • Dalvin Cook (knee, season ending)
  • Derek Carr (back, 2-6 weeks)
  • Chris Carson (leg, season ending)
  • Ty Montgomery (ribs, week to week)
  • Davante Adams (concussion, week to week)
  • Marcus Mariota (hamstring, week to week)
  • Jordan Matthews (thumb, 4-5 weeks)

Week 5 WAIVER WIRE POD (listen here)

The ownership rates listed were sourced from Yahoo! They reflect a player’s ownership, not their availability.


QUARTERBACKS

DeShaun Watson, Texans, 35 percent

I said last week that Watson would have weekly relevance if Will Fuller got back soon. Well, Fuller was back last week and he caught two scores. Watson is now looking like a potential weekly starter if the cornerback matchups aren’t too rough. Heck, even then, his mobility gives you a chance. Watson is now a must-own fantasy asset in any league where a quarterback could help you. He’s easily the best guy out there in most leagues at the position.

Tyrod Taylor, Bills, 45 percent

He’s not fun because he has so few good places to throw the football, but he gives you bonus points with his feet and he has a very solid schedule the rest of the way. You could do a lot worse than Taylor as a fill in for Derek Carr. The only issue would be his Week 6 bye.

Andy Dalton, Bengals, 47 percent

He’s strictly a matchup play, so check your schedule and then consider adding him. The addition of Bill Lazor at OC has helped and the Bengals should be getting some good weapons back in the coming weeks. Dalton has a Week 6 bye.

Sam Bradford, Vikings, 19 percent

He may not come back in good shape and maybe not at all, but if the Vikings are to be believed, he’s dealing with a deep bruise in the area of his ACL surgery. It’s obviously a tricky thing. My guess is that he returns for Week 6 and then we’ll see where he’s at. The bottom line is that he could really help you if he’s right—if he’s back to where he was Week 1. If I need a matchup quarterback or a bye week replacement for a game after Week 6, I’d get him now and see what happens.

Jared Goff, Rams, 23 percent

He’s been great and you have to feel good for the guy after all the flack he caught as a rookie “bust”, but be careful here. Goff’s schedule really stiffens up going forward and I suspect the results will reflect that. Check your schedule to anticipate your needs, but as a bye week add, Goff is not great. His matchups over the bye weeks are exceptionally bad.

Mitchell Trubisky, Bears, 3 percent

For deep leaguers, Trubisky could be an option. He’s talented too, but there’s an obvious concern when you look at his weapons or lack thereof. Mike Glennon may not be all that good, but you have to at least accept that he was playing with a seriously weak hand. That weak hand now belongs to the rookie. I expect better results, but the weekly ceiling is not very high outside of the sweetest matchups.

RUNNING BACKS

Alvin Kamara, Saints, 46 percent

He’s still out there in some leagues and this is the time to go get him if you haven’t already. I told you to grab this kid over Tarik Cohen when I posted the year’s first waiver wire. There was a reason for that, and his name is Drew Brees. Kamara has been a big factor and he’s found the end zone the last two games. Based on what we’ve seen, he’s the one Saints running back who has a role locked in, and that role could grow after their bye, which is this week. If you are still not convinced, take a look at the Saints remaining schedule. It’s super sweet.

The Seahawks backfield

  • Thomas Rawls, 30 percent
  • Eddie Lacy, 20 percent
  • C.J. Prosise, 16 percent

Somebody in every league will win this situation. Maybe not this week or even next week, but eventually we are going to see some fantasy GMs profiting in Seattle. I wish I could tell you definitively which back will rise in the wake of Chris Carson’s season ending leg injury. Sadly, it’s pretty wide open. I will do a deep dive on this backfield during today’s podcast. Check out Rotobahn this afternoon to listen. In short, I’m targeting Prosise in PPR leagues and Lacy in leagues that are not full PPR. Rawls is probably the guy who will get first crack at the lead job, but his health concerns are many and he hasn’t looked fully healthy the last few weeks. One strong play would be to go after Lacy and Rawls as a pair and hope one of them takes over. You’ll need some heavy bidding dollars and extra roster space to pull that off though.

Aaron Jones, Packers, 12 percent

He could easily start for Green Bay this week and my guess is that he steals Jamaal Williams’ role as the backup, because he’s a better player due to his diversity and creativity. Aaron Rodgers has been vocal in his support for Jones and that can’t hurt. So, if you are a relying on Ty Montgomery, this is a pure no-brainer, but I’ll be adding Jones in ALL leagues because he has a big ceiling in this offense, and it’s not like Montgomery has been highly durable. In Green Bay’s offense, Jones playing full time could help you win a league.

Latavius Murray & Jerick McKinnon, Vikings, 19 and 4 percent respectively

This is a tough one. Everybody and their mother will be bidding large on Murray. I can’t tell you that’s a dumb move either, because he is likely to get first crack at being Dalvin Cook’s replacement. We won’t see Dalvin until 2018 so this is a big deal. There are a lot of points to be had here, especially if Sam Bradford comes back and gets the passing game cranked back up. My problem is I do not see Murray as much more than a replacement level player. McKinnon, on the other hand, has a diverse game and could explode if given the opportunity. My gut says to hang back and get McKinnon on the cheap or to maybe go after both depending on your situation. The key point I want to make is that this situation is a lot closer than it looks. I will do a few minutes on this one in my podcast which will be out this afternoon on Rotobahn.

Wayne Gallman, Giants, 4 percent

I’ve never been a big fan of Gallman’s, but I am a huge fan of opportunity and it looks like the Giants are about to give Gallman his shot. He’s a solid back who can play on all downs and he’s run fairly well in limited opportunities. My guess is that this backfield continues to be a shared situation and that there will be no backs with weekly RB2 appeal. Still, Gallman is worth drafting and holding for the near term, just in case he takes this thing and runs with it.

Andre Ellington, Cardinals, 25 percent

He’s playing heavy snaps now and he’s the Arizona back to own in all leagues save for standard scoring formats. Until David Johnson returns, Ellington will be a large factor in the Cardinals’ passing game. He’s been targeted 22 times over the last two games.

Alex Collins, Ravens, 10 percent

He's looked solid so far but the playing time has yet to really materialize. Still, he's looking like he may have pulled ahead of Tearrance West as he "started" last week and may do so again.  Still, he's been fumbling and that's nothing new for him.  This is a mediocre situation at best.  I see a chance at Rob Kelley value here and not much more.

D'Onta Foreman, Texans, 28 percent

He was clearly behind Miller again, but they like him and they are finding ways to use him.  In Week 4 that meant clean up duty and it will probably take an injury to Miller for this thing to change midseason, but it's not like Miller is Franco Harris. He does get hurt. foreman's a solid stash option or handcuff in deeper formats.  Helps a lot that this offense finally has a quarterback.

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Will Fuller, Texans, 32 percent

I was very surprised that he was allowed to return early from his collarbone injury. That said, he looked good and scored twice. Just as importantly, he played close to full time snaps. Fuller is a no brainer pick up right now in all leagues with DeShaun Watson playing like he belongs.

Corey Davis, Titans, 35 percent

He’s been down with a hamstring injury, but he’ll be their lead receiver at some point assuming the injury is resolved. I expect him to begin practicing this week and a return could happen at any time. Davis is an outstanding stash option if you have the bench space.

Cooper Kupp, Rams, 44 percent

The matchups stink for the Rams as I told you up top with Jared Goff, but the cornerback matchups for Kupp aren’t nearly as scary as the matchups for Sammy Watkins. Kupp should continue to impress and he makes a solid add in all PPR leagues.

Josh Doctson, Washington, 11 percent

Here’s an upside play that I really want to take the plunge on. Docton just missed a touchdown on Monday night and that would have made it two weeks in a row for him. His role is growing as he gets healthier and can play more snaps. In 2-3 weeks he could be a guy you really want in your lineup. Stash him now where you can. He’s a serious talent with big play ability and serious red zone chops.

Tyler Lockett, Seahawks, 42 percent

Just a good receiver who is finally getting his game back into full swing. The time to add Lockett is right now. Seattle’s slowly turning the corner on offense and a hot second half for Russell Wilson is to be expected.

Devin Funchess, Panthers, 26 percent

He was very effective in Week 4 but it’s worth noting that the Patriots didn’t exactly make it hard on him. Still, with Greg Olsen out and with defenses keying on the backfield of Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey, there should continue to be opportunities for Funchess. He can be a WR3 for you in deep leagues.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers, 2 percent

He’s available in more leagues than I realized and he’s a must-add in 12-team leagues. Schuster, as I said in today’s podcast, has some special skills. He’s a matchup nightmare for slot corners and strong safeties not to mention any linebacker, and much the same way they did with Martavis Bryant a few years back, they are getting good matchups for Schuster. I’d add this guy now and hope that the trend continues in its current trajectory.

John Ross, Bengals, 5 percent

He’s looking like he may suffer through a lost rookie season, and thusly, he’s being dumped in most leagues. In smaller leagues, that’s fine, but if you have some bench space for developmental assets or stash options, I love Ross because he has the ability to quite simply explode. Once it happens, he’ll be a top dollar add, so my preference is to stash him in advance if it’s a reasonable move based on my roster restrictions.

TIGHT ENDS

Evan Engram, Giants, 47 percent

This is your last chance. He’s getting it done every week and he’s still being integrated into the Giants’ offense. This is turning into a developmental season for the Giants. Players like Engram and Sterling Shepard will play major snaps going forward. So, things are going to keep getting better. Opposing defenses simply cannot pay any extra attention to Engram because of that Odell Beckham guy, who is generally on the other side of the formation. Hopefully you already have Engram, but if not, go get him. More touchdowns are coming.

O.J. Howard, Bucs, 18 percent

Yes, Cameron Brate (also a solid add at 49 percent ownership) was actually the better fantasy option last week. Brate was targeted more and he scored more points for fantasy teams. The thing is, Howard is an absolute stud. He’s leading Brate in snaps played by 23 on the season, and the season is still young. Howard is already so dangerous that you can play him if you need to, but if he just takes a few small steps forward, he could easily become a weekly option like Evan Engram. He has the quarterback to make it happen and he has the big outside receivers to create room for him underneath. And, this week, the Bucs get Doug Martin back. A big time ground game will open the field even further for Howard. Oh yeah, he’s also past his bye week due to the Week 1 hurricane. Add this guy if you have some space. He’s a stash option who can actually be played when needed. His long Week 4 touchdown was not the last one you’ll see. Trust me.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets, 7 percent

He looked good in his first two games back and he’s now in position to take it to the next level. His snap total was up to 54 in his second game and he should be close to an every down option going forward. He’ll be the Jets red zone weapon of choice and he will be amongst the three most targeted options on a weekly basis. The Jets stink, but he’s a solid add due to projected role and volume.

Tyler Kroft, Bengals, 1 percent

He’s a great pickup for a struggling team with Tyler Eifert rostered. Kroft showed in Week 4 that he can really post some numbers and he’ll be a featured guy for as long as Eifert is out, and that absence could easily extend into Week 5.

Vernon Davis, Washington, 17 percent

This is mostly for Jordan Reed owners. Davis is that rare handcuff option at tight end—a guy who can actually outperform the guy he fills in for. Davis just missed a long score on Monday night and he is in phenomenal condition for a 33-year old tight end. Washington has plenty of late games left on the schedule. Davis can solve a nightmare for you because Reed is a weekly adventure with the injury report. This is a no-brainer move in deep leagues.