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The Watch List V

The Watch List V

Updated Watch List
By: Pete Davidson : October 31, 2013 7:17pm

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This is the fifth version of the Watch List and we've graduated a lot of players since Watch List IV.  These are players that have significant fantasy potential, but that are, for one reason or another, on the fringe of ownership in deeper formats. I own a few of these guys and I’d own a few others if had more roster space. Some are just players that I follow in case they start getting the requisite snaps and touches.

I’ll do my best to give you the appropriate context with each player, so you’ll know what to look for and when to act. Of course, if you just read our weekly Waiver Wire, you’ll know. I use a threshold of 15% ownership in CBS leagues. These are players who could break out at any time and I want Rotobahn’s readers to know about them early.  I may add another player or two on Friday as I continue to watch film from Week 8.

I'll be back later today with the preliminary rankings for the running backs, quarterbacks, tight ends and wide receivers.

Here are the players who were on the original Watch List , Watch List II , Watch List III or Watch List IV, but have graduated past the 15% threshold.

  • Julius Thomas - 100%
  • Jordan Reed - 100%
  • Terrance Williams - 100%
  • Keenan Allen - 100%
  • Marvin Jones 98%
  • Zac Stacy - 92%
  • Joique Bell - 82%
  • Rueben Randle - 79%
  • Roy Helu - 74%
  • Mike Tolbert - 72%
  • Julian Edelman - 68%
  • Kenny Stills - 60%
  • Nick Foles - 56%
  • Kendal Hunter - 49%
  • Jeremy Kerley 45%
  • Brandon LaFell - 43%
  • Vincent Brown - 40%
  • Donald Brown - 35%
  • Joseph Fauria - 32%
  • Timothy Wright - 29%
  • Jeff Cumberland - 26%
  • Robert Woods - 21%
  • Riley Cooper - 21%
  • Jeff Cumberland - 20%
  • Knile Davis - 19%
  • Kris Durham - 17%
  • Mike Glennon - 15%

 

Shonn Greene, Titans - Owned in 14% of leagues.

Greene is a player to add right now in most leagues.  He's healthy and they are planning to get him the football with more consistency plus he should be getting most of the love near the goal line.  Greene is way under-owned.

E.J. Manuel, QB. Bills - Owned in 13% of leagues.

He could be a nice add in large redraft formats if you have a need at QB.  Manuel is getting close to a return and he's a great athlete with a lot of talent around him.  He's a good add for 14-team leagues and larger right now.

Josh Freeman, QB, Vikings - Owned in 13% of leagues.

He looked pretty bad in his first start for the Vikes, but they do have the assets to get things rolling at some point.  He's worth watching in most leagues and worth adding in leagues with 14 or more teams and deep rosters.

Doug Baldwin, WR, Seahawks - Owned in 11% of leagues.

He could have some nice value the next couple of weeks with Sidney Rice gone for the season and Percy Harvin not yet ready for full-time duty.

Stephen Hill, WR, Jets - Owned in 11% of leagues.

He has outstanding talent, but he's been banged up and the Jets' offense has been up and down.  Hill still has breakout potential and should be owned in leagues with 14 or more teams and in long term formats.  He's a player to watch in all leagues.

Mohamed Sanu, WR, Bengals - Owned in 10% of leagues.

He may be on the way down with the tight ends both playing well and with Marvin Jones busting out all over the place.  Still, Sanu is a talented player and all it takes is one injury to put him right back on the map.

Rob Housler, Cardinals - Owned in 10% of leagues.

He continues to vex fantasy owners with mini break-outs followed by the usual disappearing act, but the talent is real, so he is worth keeping track of.  A lot of Housler's troubles are related to the Cards' offensive line.  The rest is his inability to stay healthy.

Christine Michael, Seahawks - Owned in 9% of leagues.

This guy must be owned in all deep leagues due to his freak-like ability that we spoke of all the way back in April.  He's down to 9% and I'd be scooping him up leagues with 12 or more teams, especially if I have Marshawn Lynch as my main back.

Greg Little, WR, Browns - Owned in 6% of leagues

He's back in the starting lineup and he could really emerge if they can get things rolling in Cleveland.  Little's after-the-catch ability is outstanding, but his slow starts are becoming too predictable.  Keep an eye on him.  He finished strong last year and he's been learning a new offense like the rest of the Browns in 2013.

Khiry Robinson, RB, Saints - Owned in 7% of leagues.

He's a good looking back and he has the best combination of talents of all the backs in New Orleans as far as early downs are concerned.  If Mark Ingram continues to struggle with injuries, Robinson's role could grow.  He's a player to keep an eye on in large formats and he found the zone in Week 6 on a goal line carry. 

Chad Henne, QB, Jaguars - Owned in 7% of leagues.

He'll have value in deeper formats if he can hang onto the job.  Throwing to Cecil Shorts and Justin Blackmon is not that bad a gig.

LaMichael James, RB, 49ers - Owned in 4% of leagues.

He should be owned in more leagues as both Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter have rich injury histories. James is a very solid talent and he’d be quite valuable if he was getting regular snaps behind the 49ers line.

Drew Davis, WR, Falcons - Owned in 4% of leagues.

He's being heavily targeted and he produced good numbers in Week 8.  He looks like a good bet to produce as long as Roddy White remains out.

Markus Wheaton, WR, Steelers - Owned in 3% of leagues.

I'm sticking with Wheaton, but he is starting to run out of time.  He may return this week, but it's looking like a 50/50 proposition and he's yet to practice.  Once he is plying at 100%, we should see a very good player that is likely to have the starting gig by the start of 2014 and conceivably sooner.

Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles - Owned in 3% of leagues.

He’s very talented and in Chip Kelly’s offense, the tight end is a high profile position. Ertz could start gaining fantasy steam at any point. Keep an eye on his snap totals. If they begin to rise, you should consider adding him in deeper formats.  I like what I am seeing from him lately.  He's getting closer.

Marcedes Lewis, TE, Jaguars - Owned in 3% of leagues.

If he gets healthy, he could so some damage.  He's worth monitoring because he's got solid talent and because the Jags have talent outside.  That being said, he's just not making many plays.  Not a guy to roster right now.

Lance Kendricks, TE, Rams - Owned in 3% of leagues.

He's a good player, but with Kellen Clemens at QB, he might be finished as a redraft asset for 2013.

Kirk Cousins, QB, Redskins - Owned in 3% of leagues

The Redskins are past the bye and if you need a backup for RGIII and can't find any love on the waiver wire, Cousins could be a better answer than giving up value in a trade.

Denard Robinson, RB, Jaguars - Owned in 1% of leagues.

MJD is showing ominous signs of decline and this team will be in “future mode” soon if they aren’t already there. Players like Denard should be getting long looks over the season’s second half .  “Shoelace” could be an asset in large formats. He's dinged up right now, but his time will come.  In fairness to the Jaguars' ground game, they have faced some very tough defenses so far.  Their schedule gets a bit better the rest of the way.  Check out some of his talents in our original pre-draft report on the ex-Michigan QB.

Stepfan Taylor, RB, Cardinals - Owned in 2% of leagues.

If Rashard Mendenhall can't get healthy, Taylor should get the leftover carries and that would definitely make him a guy to own in 12-team leagues and dynasty.

Dennis Pitta, TE, Ravens - Owned in 2% of leagues.

He could make it back during the fantasy regular season. If you are in really good shape but lack a top shelf tight end, Pitta will make a nice high-quality stash option very soon.

Jon Baldwin, WR, 49ers - Owned in 1% of leagues.

It could be time to give up on Baldwin, who hasn't done much with his opportunity in San Francisco.  Then again, he's still a player to watch.  I just wouldn't waste a roster spot on him right now outside of large long term formats.

Justin Hunter, WR, Titans - Owned in 1% of leagues.

He only has two catches on the season, but both went for big scores.  Hunter is a kid you might remember from our pre-draft article called Rotobahn's Guys.  This guy has crazy ability and it's starting to show.  Combine that with Kenny Britt's demise and you have an intriguing player.  Sadly, he's been a bit of a forgotten man the last few weeks.  He's still a player to watch closely because he's got a lot of upside, and he's a much better fit for Jake Locker's big arm versus Ryan Fitzpatrick's buggy-whip arm. 

Quinton Patton, WR, 49ers - Owned in 1% of leagues.

Will he return?  It's tough to say and they may be forced to use an IR designation on him wth so many players coming back.  Patton is a player to watch because he has a lot of upside, but if Mario Manningham and Michael Crabtree are both on schedule, he may not be a factor until 2014.

Kenjon Barner, RB, Panthers - Owned in 1% of leagues.

He hasn't done much since returning from his sprained ankle.  We like Barner a lot, but with Jonathan Stewart nearing a return, he's not likely to get much action in the near term.  He's a classic watch list player.  Plenty of potential, but he needs a break to get some playing time. 

Rishard Matthews, WR, Dolphins - Owned in 1% of leagues.

They throw a lot and with Brandon Gibson out for the year, Matthews could become a regular part of the Miami offense.

Chris Polk, RB, Eagles - Owned in 1% of leagues.

If LeSean McCoy gets banged up, Polk will have a role and any back with a role in Chip Kelly’s offense is worth owning. He’s a player to know about, especially for McCoy and Bryce Brown owners.  Polk got a few carries in Week 4 and he found the zone once.  He also did the little things that coaches like to see.  Polk is a player to know about, especially for those of you in really deep leagues.

Marquise Goodwin, WR, Bills - Owned in 1% of leagues.

Goodwin is on his way back from a broken hand and he has the ability to do great things of Buffalo can get the offense going.  This kid can absolutely fly and he's more than just a track star.  The man they call Flash Goodwin scored in his first game back and that was with Thad Lewis at QB.  He's definitely a player to watch if he can stay healthy.

Brian Quick, WR, Rams - Owned in 1% of leagues.

He has serious upside if he ever gets significant snaps.  Quick has a lot of ability as an outside option.  It's s shame that the Rams have too much talent at receiver and not enough on the offensive line or at QB now that Sam Bradford is out for the year.  Keep an eye on Quick, but he's looking more like a dynasty option than a redraft option.

Jermaine Kearse, WR, Seahawks - Owned in 1% of leagues.

He's been flashing since preseason and he could have some value until Percy Harvin gets back and is playing major snaps.  Kearse is a player to add right now in really deep formats.  He'll score some points the next few weeks.

Stedman Bailey, WR, Rams - Owned in 1% of leagues.

Still a player to watch, but his ceiling has been damaged by the injury to Sam Bradford, who was just passable as an NFL QB.  New Rams starter Kellen Clemens looked over-matched in Week 8.

Mike Gillislee, RB, Dolphins - Owned in 1% of leagues.

How long can Daniel Thomas continue to play ahead of this kid?  Who knows, but I'd keep an eye on Gillislee if they start activating him on game days.  He's a complete player.

Alex Green, RB, Jets - Owned in 0% of leagues.

Green is a player we really like, but the key is for him to get all the way back from his ACL surgery.  He's not a guy to roster right now outside of long term leagues, but if positive news starts to leak about him, he be a guy to add in large formats.  He is a very good fit for the Jets new offense.  Probably the best fit on the roster and now that Mike Goodson is finished for 2013, Green is one step closer to viability.

Ladarius Green, TE, Chargers - Owned in 0% of leagues.

A name to know.  If there is an injury to Antonio Gates, Green has the ability to post TE1 numbers.

Vance McDonald, TE, 49ers - Owned in 0% of leagues.

Still not getting the kind of role we thought he would, but he should develop into a weapon for the 49ers in time.  Still a player to watch.

Brice Butler, WR, Raiders - Owned in 0% of leagues.

Denarius Moore's play has improved in recent weeks.  That puts a damper on Butler's short term appeal, but he's still a guy to keep an eye on.  Butler is a guy we liked before the draft. We hoped that he’d land in a place like Green Bay, but he’s shown well since landing in Oakland and he’s playing significant snaps.  All it takes is a single injury.

Theo Riddick, RB, Lions - Owned in 0% of leagues.

He’s extremely versatile and sound fundamentally. This kid could post serious numbers in the Lions’ offense if he was getting the snaps. Just remember the name if there are more injuries in Detroit.  

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